نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری مطالعات منطقه ای دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار گروه روابط بین الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
After the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War, the South Caucasus experienced significant geopolitical shifts impacting Iran's role in the region. This article examines how Russia has influenced Iran's actions, focusing on the question: How has Russia shaped Iran's agency in the South Caucasus post-conflict? Based on neoclassical realism, the hypothesis suggests that Russia's military and diplomatic influence, coordination with Turkey, support for Azerbaijan, and its role in the Zangezur Corridor have restricted Iran's agency. Moreover, Iranian leaders' misperceptions of Russia as a key regional actor have intensified these constraints.
Using process-tracing, the study investigates how structural pressures, institutional factors, and Russian actions have limited Iran's influence. The findings reveal that Russia has not only suppressed Iran's independent actions but also, through coordination with Turkey and support for Azerbaijan, pushed Iran into more cautious responses. Additionally, the Ukraine war has exposed Russia's relative weakness, offering opportunities for Iran’s rivals. However, due to its confrontation with the U.S., Tehran refrains from openly opposing Russia’s policies. The neoclassical analysis highlights how the interaction of structural pressures and misperceptions has constrained Iran’s agency, urging Tehran to rethink its strategy to strengthen its influence in the region.
کلیدواژهها English
