جایگاه افغانستان در سیاست ترانزیتی هند در حوزه آسیای مرکزی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین الملل :واحد علوم و تحقیقات ،دانشگاه ازاد اسلامی ، تهران ، ایران

2 استاد گروه روابط بین‌الملل، دانشکده حقوق و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران.

3 استاد گروه علوم سیاسی دانشگاه تهران . تهران . ایران

چکیده
هند به‌عنوان یکی از قدرت‌های نوظهور اقتصادی و سیاسی، در چارچوب راهبرد کلان خود برای دسترسی پایدار به منابع انرژی، بازارهای نوظهور و تقویت پیوندهای منطقه‌ای، نیازمند مسیرهای حمل‌ونقل امن و متنوع به آسیای مرکزی است. در این میان، افغانستان به‌دلیل موقعیت ژئوپلیتیکی و ژئواکونومیکی خاص خود به‌مثابه حلقه‌ای راهبردی در اتصال جنوب آسیا به آسیای مرکزی مطرح می‌شود. این کشور که در چهارراه حوزه‌های ژئوپلیتیکی مهم منطقه قرار دارد، می‌تواند نقشی تعیین‌کننده در تحقق اهداف حمل‌و‌نقل و تجاری هند ایفا کند. پرسش اصلی پژوهش این است که افغانستان در چارچوب دیپلماسی حمل‌و‌نقل هند چگونه و تا چه اندازه اثرگذار بوده است؟ این پژوهش با بهره‌گیری از روش توضیحی- تبیینی و با تکیه بر مفاهیم ژئوپلیتیک و ژئواکونومیک، این فرضیه را بررسی می‌کند که «هند با استفاده از موقعیت ژئوپلیتیکی افغانستان، به‌عنوان پلی راهبردی در آسیای مرکزی، در پی ارتقای امنیت انرژی، توسعه پیوندهای اقتصادی و افزایش نفوذ سیاسی خود در این منطقه است. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان می‌دهد که افغانستان در عین ایفای نقش فرصت‌ساز در دیپلماسی حمل‌و‌نقل هند، با چالش‌های ساختاری و امنیتی قابل توجهی نیز مواجه است. این چالش‌ها از یک‌سو ریشه در بی‌ثباتی‌های سیاسی و امنیتی داخلی افغانستان دارند و از سوی دیگر تحت تأثیر رقابت قدرت‌های منطقه‌ای و فرامنطقه‌ای برای اثرگذاری بر تحولات داخلی و جهت‌گیری‌های سیاست خارجی این کشور قرار می‌گیرند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Afghanistan’s Position in India’s Transit Policy in Central Asia

نویسندگان English

Sayyed Mahdi Mousavi Kia 1
Seyed Asghar Keyvan Hosseini 2
Hamid Ahmadi 3
1 A Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Professor, Department of International Relations, Faculty of Law and Political Science, Allameh Tabatabae'i University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Tehran. Tehran. Iran
چکیده English

Introduction
In the contemporary international system, transit routes and cross-border transportation networks are no longer merely technical mechanisms for the movement of goods and services; rather, they have become critical instruments for shaping state power, geopolitical influence, and strategic positioning. As globalization deepens and national economies become increasingly interdependent, states rely more heavily on secure, cost-effective, and efficient transit corridors to ensure sustainable access to energy resources, consumer markets, and global supply chains. Within this context, transit diplomacy has emerged as an important dimension of economic and geoeconomic diplomacy, through which states employ transportation infrastructure and connectivity initiatives as instruments of foreign policy.
Central Asia, owing to its vast energy reserves, strategic geographical location, and position at the crossroads of East–West and North–South connectivity, has become a focal point of regional and global geopolitical competition. As one of the major emerging powers of the twenty-first century, India seeks to expand its economic and political presence in Central Asia by diversifying access routes and reducing dependence on constrained or politically challenging transit corridors. However, India’s geographical limitations and its enduring rivalry with Pakistan have significantly restricted direct overland access to Central Asia. Under these circumstances, Afghanistan has acquired particular strategic importance for India as a potential land bridge connecting South Asia to Central Asia. Against this backdrop, the present study adopted a geoeconomic and geopolitical lens to examine Afghanistan’s role in India’s transit diplomacy toward Central Asia.
Literature Review
A review of the existing literature indicates that scholarship on Afghanistan has predominantly focused on security concerns, internal conflicts, terrorism, and strategic competition among major powers. Within this body of research, Afghanistan is often portrayed primarily as a source of instability or a security buffer, while its geoeconomic significance and transit potential have received comparatively limited systematic attention. Similarly, studies of India’s foreign policy have largely concentrated on its bilateral relations with major powers and regional actors, particularly China, Pakistan, and the United States, as well as its participation in major regional and multilateral initiatives. Although a number of studies have examined connectivity projects such as the Chabahar Port, the International North–South Transport Corridor, and broader efforts toward regional integration, Afghanistan’s role as an integral component of India’s transit diplomacy toward Central Asia has often been addressed only in a fragmented and peripheral manner. Consequently, the existing literature lacks an integrated analytical framework that systematically connects India’s transit diplomacy with Afghanistan’s geopolitical position and the broader geoeconomic dynamics of Central Asia. The current inquiry sought to address this gap by viewing Afghanistan not merely as a transit corridor, but as a strategic variable within India’s broader regional diplomacy and geoeconomic strategy.
Materials and Methods
The present study adopted a qualitative methodology based on a descriptive–analytical and explanatory framework. The data was collected through documentary and library research, including academic articles, policy papers, official government documents, and reports published by international and regional organizations. Moreover, the qualitative content analysis was used to analyze the data, enabling the integration of empirical evidence with relevant theoretical insights. The conceptual framework was grounded in the theory of transit diplomacy, which conceptualizes transit and connectivity as multidimensional instruments encompassing economic, political, and security dimensions. Within this framework, the study examined Afghanistan’s role in facilitating India’s access to Central Asia, assessing the implications of this role for India’s geoeconomic and geopolitical interests.
Results and Discussion
Afghanistan occupies a dual and complex position within India’s transit diplomacy. On the one hand, Afghanistan’s strategic geographical location provides India with a potential corridor to Central Asia, enabling New Delhi to bypass Pakistan and reduce its dependence on politically constrained transit routes. Through initiatives such as the Chabahar Port, the International North–South Transport Corridor, the Lapis Lazuli Corridor, and prospective road and rail networks, India seeks to strengthen its economic engagement and expand its political influence in Central Asia. On the other hand, these opportunities are accompanied by substantial structural and security challenges. Persistent political instability, chronic insecurity, underdeveloped transportation infrastructure, limited financial and institutional capacity, regulatory fragmentation, and intense geopolitical competition—particularly involving China and Pakistan—significantly constrain the effectiveness of India’s transit diplomacy. Moreover, as a landlocked and fragile state, Afghanistan remains highly vulnerable to political pressures associated with control over transit routes, which in turn increases uncertainty for long-term connectivity projects. According to the findings, without parallel progress in security stabilization, institutional capacity-building, and regional coordination, Afghanistan’s geostrategic potential may remain underutilized, thereby limiting the long-term sustainability and effectiveness of India’s transit diplomacy.
Conclusion
Transit diplomacy has emerged as a central instrument of India’s foreign policy for expanding its geoeconomic footprint in Central Asia. Within this framework, Afghanistan occupies a strategically significant yet inherently ambivalent position. While Afghanistan offers India a unique opportunity to strengthen regional connectivity and diversify its access to energy resources and markets, it simultaneously presents serious political, security, and structural challenges. According to the findings, the success of India’s transit diplomacy depends on a multidimensional approach that integrates regional cooperation, targeted infrastructure investment, effective management of geopolitical competition, and a balanced emphasis on both security and economic development in Afghanistan. Without such an approach, continued instability risks transforming Afghanistan from a strategic opportunity into a significant constraint on India’s broader regional transit strategy.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Transit Diplomacy
Foreign Policy
India
Afghanistan
Central Asia
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