seyyed abdollah razavi; mohammad nasr esfahani
Abstract
the dependence of the Iran economy on oil revenues has led to maintaining market share and the sale of crude oil at an optimum price to secure the economic security of the country. US sanctions on oil industry and the sale of Iranian crude oil, have stopped the cooperation and investments of oil companies ...
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the dependence of the Iran economy on oil revenues has led to maintaining market share and the sale of crude oil at an optimum price to secure the economic security of the country. US sanctions on oil industry and the sale of Iranian crude oil, have stopped the cooperation and investments of oil companies operating in development, and exports crude oil also experienced a significant decline. The present paper draws the channels of influence of the Trump strategies on the Iranian oil market with using the political economic theories. The results of the study indicate that with the recent pressure of the United States and the removal of some of Iran's crude oil from the global market, oil export opportunities for Iraq, the United States, … were made available to customers in the European and Asian markets to increase their market share Also, putting pressure by American on customers and helping rivals in Iran to provide space for the United States to increase its exports to Asia has put the security of the country's export markets at serious risk. recent agreement between OPEC member and non-members on reducing oil production has contributed greatly to the expansion of US production.
behrooz namdari; Kayhan Barzegar
Abstract
This article examines the role of unconventional oil resources on the internal structure and decisions taken by OPEC. The way members of OPEC are interacting shows that new shale oil resources influence the mutual behavior and decision making of the OPEC.
Since the position and power of this international ...
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This article examines the role of unconventional oil resources on the internal structure and decisions taken by OPEC. The way members of OPEC are interacting shows that new shale oil resources influence the mutual behavior and decision making of the OPEC.
Since the position and power of this international organization has always been influenced by its structural disagreements and production from the unconventional resources of oil, which its majority part is out of territory of OPEC members, Could end in depending differences inside the organization or it will repair them, any majority changes in the OPEC’s impact on the global economy, may influence it’s total existence.
This research by using historical variables of differences within the OPEC and its adaptation with future quantity scenarios of the oil production from the conventional and unconventional sources comes to the conclusion that entry and continuity of the shale oil variable into the international energy market at the same time, could be the element for the continuity and strength of opec organization or may cause breakdown of this organization after several decades of its activity in the world energy market.
این مقاله به بررسی نقش منابع غیرمتعارف نفت بر ساختار درونی و تصمیم‌گیری‌های سازمان اوپک می‌پردازد. نحوه تعامل اعضا در سازمان اوپک نشان می‌دهد که منابع جدید نفت شیل نحوه رفتار متقابل و تصمیم‌گیری درون این سازمان را تحت تاثیر قرار می‌دهد. از آنجا که جایگاه و قدرت این سازمان بین‌المللی، همواره تحت تأثیر اختلافات ساختاری درون این سازمان بوده است و تولید از منابع نامتعارف نفت که قسمت عمده آن در خارج از حوزه سرزمینی اعضای اوپک است، می‌تواند به تعمیق اختلافات در درون این سازمان و یا ترمیم آنها بینجامد، هرگونه تغییر اساسی در میزان تأثیرگذاری اوپک در اقتصاد جهانی می‌تواند کلیت وجودی آن را تحت تأثیر قرار دهد. این نوشتار با استفاده از متغیر تاریخی اختلافات درون سازمان اوپک و انطباق آن با سناریوهای کمی آتی تولید نفت از منابع متعارف و غیرمتعارف به این نتیجه می‌رسد که ورود و تداوم متغیر نفت شیل به بازار بین‌المللی انرژی، همزمان می‌تواند عامل تداوم و استحکام سازمان اوپک و یا از هم‌گسیختگی این سازمان بین‌المللی بعد از چندین دهه فعالیت در بازار انرژی جهانی شود.
gholamreza karimi; Seyed Ali monavari; saeed mirtorabi; parviz sharifi
Abstract
This article aims to investigate the effective factors on economic interactions in Saudi Arabia during and after conducting Jam negotiations in 2013-2016 based on the economic game theory by “Thomas Shieling” and using the documental method, with putting emphasis on this hypothesis ...
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This article aims to investigate the effective factors on economic interactions in Saudi Arabia during and after conducting Jam negotiations in 2013-2016 based on the economic game theory by “Thomas Shieling” and using the documental method, with putting emphasis on this hypothesis that the negotiation procedure and performing JCPOA with changing the role and expanding Iranian regional penetration, challenges Iran and Saudi Arabia’s relationships in regional level, which is one of the most important findings of this study. Based on the fear of nuclear negotiation feedbacks and the operative JCPOA agreement, Saudi Arabia would be encountered Iran’s political, economic and civil position in both regional and international level. It makes Saudi to be one of the main important oil reactor in OPEC in 2013-2016 with enhancement procedure beyond global requirement, the productive range 9,140,000 barrels in June 2013 was about 10,720.000 barrels in November 2016with the aim of serious battle with Iran, so that the decision and intention with the aim of increasing oil production more than the global market requirement, some challenges in Iran’s plans and programs and particularly positive reflections due to JCPOA agreement.
